I was listening to a podcast a while ago and it stated that Buddhism worldwide is in decline. I found that surprising. Is that true? Does anyone have any references or better still statistics to prove or disprove that.
I found several interesting Wiki pages:
This one gives a basic idea about the growth as a comparison between 1910 and 2010.
This is the List of religious population.
This one gives the population groth rates
By briefly analysing all of the above, I feel like Buddhism is decline according to the statistics.
Further found this article which gives a projections for the Next 200 Years :
According to it from 1900 to 2025 Buddhist world wide % changed ( and will be change) from 7.8% to 5.7%.
Although it sound like depressing, please think as a Buddhists this is quite expected and all align with Buddhist teaching. Going forward, It is quite clear that world is not going be a better place than today. As people moving more towards to materialism, consumerism they tends to distract from the reality. So be mindful and practice the Dhamma.
According to the commentaries, Buddha Sasana will last 5000 years. That means about another 2400+ years. In the 1st millennium, there were Arahaths with special Jhanic powers. In the 2nd millennium, there were Arahaths with no specials powers. In the 3rd millennium, i.e. at present, it's said that there are only Anagami Sangha at most. In the 4th millennium, there will be Sakadagami Sangha at most. In the 5th, there will be Sothapanna Sangha at most. At the end, monks won't even be wearing robes. They will wear ordinary clothes and will just use a yellow string to indicate that they are monks.
In addition to the other answers, I believe there is a global decline in many major religions as you can see in this Google trends graph.
I would argue that especially in the western countries choice and interest of religion is subject to change, e.g., due to trends and/or major events.
Main aspect leading to Buddhist decline or growth as per The Dharma-ending Age :
Later texts also mention external causes of the religion’s decline of which there are two:
Out of these we already see many elements today. So naturally Buddhism is in the decline. The way to get over this decline can be as follows:
I don't have statistics for you but I do want to point a few things out to give you hope against the dire (skillful means) predictions of a Dharma Ending Age:
So long as you yourself are interested in Buddhism for its life-benefitting knowledge, you can be sure many others are, too.
In the modern age of world-wide education & science, all religions that have superstitious beliefs will inevitably fall into decline (statistically). Asian cultural 'Buddhism' is no different to Western Christianity or Judaism. Many Asian cultural Buddhists will stop believing in unknowable superstitious ideas (such as 'reincarnation-rebirth' & external 'heavens & hells') & thus reject (what they believe) Buddhism (to be).
The Buddhist scriptures (such as MN 95) report the Buddha criticised religions that adhere to blind faith yet, since that time, Buddhism has become the same. For example, today, there are famous teachers that will insist you cannot be a Buddhist if you do not believe in post-mortem-rebirth.
I speculate Buddhism only historically grew as a cultural religion due to a change of emphasis towards 'rebirth-reincarnation' (which was also the primary reason why Buddhism became extinct in India due to it becoming undifferentiatable from Hinduism). Therefore, it is inevitable cultural Buddhism declines for the same reason that it grew; in that it was never ever True Buddhism.
In conclusion, (in ordinary circumstances) the True Dhamma will not decline since those that comprehend Ultimate Knowable Truth do not change their convictions.
protected by Lanka♦ Jul 7 at 10:02
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